The standard political response to the Duterte threat is to field a better candidate and win in 2028. The Sotto Gambit challenges that instinct directly. The Duterte political machine is optimized for exactly one environment: a traditional Philippine presidential campaign built on name recall, regional machinery, and emotional narrative. That is the game they have won before and are preparing to win again. The Sotto Gambit does not try to beat them at that game. It proposes to change the rules before they can set up. This is Part 2 of a 7-part series. The FULL PAPER may, however, already be downloaded at the end of each posts.
The Sotto Gambit, Part 1: A Theory for Saving the Republic
The Philippines faces surging inflation, an economy stagnating below its own targets, and leaders consumed by political warfare instead of governance. Yet the 2028 election under existing rules will produce one of three outcomes: a Marcos-endorsed successor inheriting the same corruption networks, a Duterte running a vengeance presidency, or a well-intentioned opposition leader trapped inside the same broken institutional cage. None of these changes the system. The SOTTO GAMBIT argues that the Philippines can do something different, legally and constitutionally, before 2028 closes the window. Learn more about it. This is Part 1 of a 7-part series. The FULL PAPER may, however, already be downloaded from the first post and from every post thereafter.
The 99.74% Question – On the Monterrazas de Cebu Brouhaha
A critical examination of the mathematical and engineering claims made in defense of the Monterrazas de Cebu development following the deadly Typhoon Tino floods of November 2025. This analysis challenges the developer’s use of the UP-IESM hydrological study, focusing specifically on the 99.74% detention pond capture claim and the undisclosed runoff coefficient that makes independent verification of that figure technically impossible among other issues.
Sampling Justice: Mainstream media’s and ICC’s misstep in miscounting misdeeds
Has the International Criminal Court (ICC) appropriately applied statistical methodology in its legal processes regarding the crimes against humanity charges against Duterte?This question arises from a recent Philippine Daily Inquirer (PDI) post, which discusses the ICC’s categorization of 43 cases as “representative examples” amidst a broader investigation into 12,000 to 30,000 deaths (Baclig, 2025). This […]
Art, Myth, and Labubu: Is It Demonic? A Reformed Christian Reflection
I recently came across a video by a pastor on Facebook in which he claims that Labubu is demonic. In his vlog, he presents several arguments and even references Scripture to support his position. You can view the two part video in the links at the end of this article. His argument that Labubu, […]
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